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Rodgers & Love and their Financial Futures

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Rodgers & Love and their Financial Futures

Rodgers & Love and their Financial Futures

The 4-8 Green Bay Packers are approaching a season when it’s less about this year and more about the future. Even at quarterback, a rib injury (combined with a previous thumb problem) might push Aaron Rodgers to the bench and Jordan Love into full-time action, which could be a gift in disguise for the organization.

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We’ll look at the Green Bay quarterbacks’ financial prospects, beginning with Jordan Love’s remaining deal and moving on to four choices for Aaron Rodgers in 2023 and beyond.

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CONTRACT OF JORDAN LOVE

Jordan Love’s rookie deal includes a fully guaranteed $2.3 million in 2023, followed by a projected $20 million 5th-year option for the 2024 season. The Packers will have to make a decision on that option in May. If it is exercised, it becomes fully guaranteed immediately. If it is turned down, Love will be available for unrestricted free agency following the 2023 season.

As we progress through this exercise, it’s important to remember that if trading Love is the plan, that move will almost certainly have to be completed before the May option deadline, giving the new team the opportunity to make their own decision.

A trade next March results in $1.6 million in dead cap for the Packers, freeing them $2.3 million in cap space for 2023. A release (unlikely) results in $3.94M in dead capital and $0 saved.

Given that the Packers are no longer in postseason contention, giving Love the keys to this squad for six weeks appears to be the appropriate organizational decision. Understanding the next piece of Jordan Love’s jigsaw appears to be the most critical component for the rest of 2022. Is he a legitimate candidate to be Green Bay’s next starting quarterback? Is he talented enough to get at least one team to trade for him? Is he just a highly drafted backup NFL quarterback?

AARON RODGERS OPTION NUMBER FOUR: RELEASE

Despite a clear and visible drop in performance, this is by far the least likely consequence for the upcoming summer (mostly stemming from a broken thumb, but at least a portion belonging to Father Time).

$99.7 million in dead capital. That is the only reason we need to provide you with this information. Even if he is designated for a post-June 1st release, the Packers face dead hits of $75.3 million in 2023 and $24.4 million in 2024. And, by the way, they’d still be handing him $59.5 million in cash on the way out the door.

AARON RODGERS’ THIRD OPTION: RETIREMENT

Despite a few injuries and a dismal record, this appears to be Rodgers’ second-least likely choice in 2023. Though, as Aaron Rodgers has repeatedly demonstrated, none of us should attempt to forecast his next move.

Reasons #1-#479 why he is unlikely to retire? In 2023, he will receive $59.5 million.

If that happens, the Packers will face a $40.3M total dead cap hit as a result of signing bonus proration. Rodgers would forego his guaranteed $1.165 million base salary and $58.3 million option bonus for the upcoming season, as well as the $49.3 million available in 2024.

The Packers would most likely wait until after June 2nd to file any retirement paperwork, retaining his full $31.6M cap cost on the books until then (but not exercising the 2023 option bonus). Green Bay may split the $40.3 million dead cap hit on June 2nd into $15.8 million for 2023 and $24.4 million for 2024.

AARON RODGERS OPTION #2: STAYING IN PLACE

If it ends up being the same as it was in Green Bay, a lot of statistics will be involved. In terms of money, this is a tale of two stories: 2023 & 2024.

2023
The first decision in 2023 comes with a completely guaranteed $58.3M option bonus. The Packers have until March 17th to decide on that bonus before the start of the 2023 regular season. It’s not a question of if he’ll earn it, but of how he’ll earn it. If the Packers activate the option bonus, the $58.3M will be split out over the remaining four years of the deal (or $14.575M each season). If they refuse the option bonus, it instantly changes to fully guaranteed base pay, giving Rodgers a base salary of $59.465 million and a cap hit of $72.4 million for 2023. Can you guess the road they’ll take?

Rodgers presently counts $31.6 million towards the Packers’ 2023 salary cap, which is a fairly tenable figure in the overall scheme of things. If the league cap is raised to $220 million next season, this figure represents a manageable 14.3% of it. Any change to this figure makes the 2024 scenario look much grim.

2024
All decisions must be made promptly in 2024, since his $2.25 million basic pay and $47 million option bonus become fully guaranteed 5 days after the 2023 season’s Super Bowl (February 16, 2024). Rodgers would still be tradeable into the league year (assuming the option bonus hasn’t been exercised), but he would no longer be “reasonably releasable.” Before that February 16th deadline, the contract carries a dead cap of $24.48M in 2024, representing a $16.2M cap savings.

To summarize, if Rodgers decides to return in 2023 and the Packers want to keep him, this contract becomes a one-year, $59.5 million deal with an option to opt out completely in February 2024, as shown below.

AARON RODGERS’ FIRST OPTION: TRADE

First and foremost, Aaron Rodgers’ contract does not have a no-trade provision. So this is a choice that must be taken by the Green Bay Packers. Having said that, despite the hefty contract tied to him this time, there will be plenty of conjecture (including ours). It’ll become louder if Jordan Love is given the opportunity to complete out the 2022 season and succeeds.

Financially, this is a story about two points: the option bonus and timing.

BONUS OPTION

As previously stated, the Packers have until March 17th, 2023, to exercise their $58.3 million option bonus. Trading him before that happens is a no-brainer.

The receiving team would take on the following contract, with cap hits of $15.79 million, $32.5 million, $51.1 million, and $45.3 million, respectively:

This exchanged contract’s dead cap only contains the guarantee for the 2023 basic salary and option bonus. Additional dead cap would apply if the 2024 salary and option bonus guarantee is met in February 2024 (for further information, see Option #2).

Any team that signs Rodgers next offseason will almost certainly do so on a two-year deal based on the first $43.725M dead cap figure in 2024.

DEAD CAP & TIMING

When would this transaction take place? This is when things start to get interesting. The natural first reaction to this issue would be after June 1st, 2023, allowing the Packers to divide the $40.3M dead cap into $15.8M for 2023 and $24.4M for 2024. However, because the transaction cannot be completed until June, 2023 draft selections cannot be included. If the Raiders are interested in purchasing Rodgers, the Packers would be very interested in their potential Top 10 first-round selection in 2023.

Green Bay is expected to take on the full $40.3M dead cap charge for 2023 in order to transfer him before next year’s draft as long as the trade compensation is worth it. It would be the NFL’s second-highest single-season dead cap charge, trailing only Matt Ryan’s current $40.5M hit with the Falcons this season.

FINAL CONSIDERATIONS

We’re obviously guessing, but the NFL has seen a significant QB trade in each of the previous three offseasons, so as a spoiled member of the hot stove world, it’s enjoyable to imagine another one is on the way.

Will Russell Wilson’s disastrous season make a large Rodgers acquisition more hesitant? Both yes and no. Yes, since it’s human nature to draw parallels between two circumstances. No, because Russell Wilson’s game was struggling before to the deal, despite (ironically) rumors that a thumb ailment was hindering his ability to perform.

Rodgers has shown more than a few flashes of greatness in 2022, and it’s reasonable to expect more of the same in the coming year or two if he can stay healthy.

Where might you go? Because of their tough season, the Raiders are the clear favorites. The future of Tom Brady in Tampa Bay might make the Bucs a candidate for Rodgers. The Steelers were interested in Green Bay a year ago and may include Kenny Pickett in a deal this time. And the Saints, who don’t have a first-round pick in 2023, should be in the mix for Rodgers’ services. Finally, both New York teams (Giants/Jets) have improved rosters that could benefit from an above-average quarterback.

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She is the editor of River C Sports. Previously, she was editor-in-chief at other news sites. July has also in her career been an editor for several websites and has more than 5 years of experience in the industry.

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The best adds for week 17 of Fantasy Football 2022

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The best adds for week 17 of Fantasy Football 2022

The best adds for week 17 of Fantasy Football 2022

Time to open week 17 of the 2022 NFL season with a lot of things to settle in our beloved league before the postseason begins. There are still open wild card spots left and some divisions have yet to know their winners. With only two rounds left in the regular season, we will still see “fights” on several fronts.

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In our favorite virtual game, things are a little different. It is time for the grand finals in most fantasy football leagues, with some GMs still fighting for “bronze medals” and others for better placements. And since nobody likes to lose, today’s tips are not only for the grand finalists, but for everyone trying to finish higher on the “podiums”.

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Whether it is to compete for the grand final or even an honorable third place, the waiver wire is once again necessary for those who aim to strengthen their team with an eye on the most important duel of the whole season. So, once again The Playoffs is here, being your best friend to help you find a good name to replace a considerable loss or even a player hidden in the huge waiver wire list that can contribute to your success in the “hour of truth”.

It’s worth remembering that you can’t be too careful when giving up a name in order to add a player via waivers, since placing a certain athlete on the market can mean an unwanted improvement to an opposing team.

To be eligible in our list, players have to be on, at most, 60% of the NFL.com Fantasy Football squads, which is the most popular and famous platform among Brazilians.

It is also possible that the names mentioned here are in a higher or lower percentage of squads in other applications, such as Yahoo, ESPN and Sleeper, although the tendency is that the average is similar.

Again, we reiterate that we use as a parameter the PPR score (when points are computed per reception), again because it is the standard and most famous model, currently, of the game, having stolen the “crown” of the old Standard (or non-PPR) in recent years.

With that and without further ado, let’s get to the names for the week 17 – FOR TITLE MY FRIENDS!

RUNNING BACKS

Tyler Allgeier – Atlanta Falcons (17.3% rostered*)

With four consecutive losses in the league and no chance of qualifying for the playoffs, the Atlanta Falcons are no longer contending for big things this year. Therefore, after the bye week, who has been gaining space in the team round after round is running back Tyler Allgeier. The freshman is increasingly participating in snaps and his number of carries has increased significantly, with him passing for 100 rushing yards in Week 15 on 17 attempts, and reaching 74 yards on 18 attempts in Week 16. The number of passes received by the youngster has also skyrocketed, with him managing four receptions for 43 yards in the last round, in five times he was targeted. The Falcons face the Arizona Cardinals, who are also not contending for anything this season and have one of the worst defenses against the run game in the entire NFL. Allgeier should deliver good points. Add him if he is available.

James Cook – Buffalo Bills (33.8% rostered)

The Bills are already guaranteed in the playoffs and have clinched the AFC East. The team is still aiming for the bye week in the first round of playoffs and for that they need to keep winning their games. Another point that Buffalo wants to find a solution for is in the ground game, perhaps the only weak point of a team that has been completely well put together so far. And that’s where James Cook comes in, who is increasingly involved in the team’s offensive game and has been matching up well. In the last game against the Chicago Bears, there were 11 attempts for 99 yards and a ground TD for the No. 28, who has been getting more and more involved and tends to take over the backfield of the team in the playoffs. He should continue to be very active and could be an important player to add to your roster.

*Percentage of teams in official NFL Fantasy leagues that have this athlete on their roster

WIDE RECEIVERS

Isaiah Hodgins – New York Giants (0.3% rostered)

The Giants are still in contention. The team’s defense has grown in production and, amazingly, Daniel Jones has been taking good care of the oval ball and making interesting starts. With the QB well protected and able to find passes, a name that has been gaining more and more action in New York’s offense is Isaiah Hodgins, who has had plenty of offensive carries in the team’s last four games. All right, the commitment now is against the Indianapolis Colts’ secondary, which is one of the strongest against wide receivers, but Hodgins is becoming Jones’ ball security and in a team that needs to win to keep dreaming, the trend is good passes from the QB to the WR. Keep an eye on him.

Jahan Dotson – Washington Commanders (7.9% rostered)

A name mentioned last week that is once again being remembered in this column due to the Washington Commanders WR’s great form. Shrouded in expectations before the season started, Dotson did not mesh well early in the year with Carson Wentz, but when the former Eagles and Colts player got injured and Taylor Heinicke took over the quarterback spot for the Commanders, Dotson’s numbers skyrocketed and the WR started to show up even more than Curtis Samuel, who was Wentz’s safety ball in the first few games of the 2022 NFL season. The freshman is coming off TDs noted in Week 15 and 16 and with a good load. He should continue to be important for Washington this final stretch, even if Wentz returns to the team as he did last round.

TIGHT ENDS

Cole Kmet – Chicago Bears (57.0% rostered)

That the Bears have grown during the year and displayed a better game than what we saw in the first half of the season, that no one can deny. The growth came mainly through Justin Fields, who overnight changed “from water to wine” and started to show good numbers throwing and running the ball, which we had not seen until then in the career of the once promising QB drafted by Chicago. With Fields’ growth, the direct beneficiary was TE Cole Kmet, who got a lot of carries and a significant gain in offensive carries, becoming one of the main, if not the main, offensive weapon of the Bears. In Week 17, Kmet faces the defense of the Denver Broncos, one of the worst teams in the league and the 5th worst in scoring TEs.

Juwan Johnson – New Orleans Saints (12.5% rostered)

Another name repeated around here. Juwan Johnson has grown quite a bit, especially after Michael Thomas got injured and is out for the rest of the season. As Chris Olave also suffers from physical problems, Johnson is gaining ground in the New Orleans offense and has been showing good rapport with Andy Dalton. The Saints were virtually eliminated, but managed to grow, recovered and are now fighting for a wild card spot, or even the division, since the leader Tampa Bay Buccaneers have been skating. Keep an eye on Juwan Johnson, who should have plenty of carries in this final stretch of the season.

QUARTERBACK

Brock Purdy – San Francisco 49ers (27.3% rostered)

A regular around here, Brock Purdy was a real find for the San Francisco 49ers the year after the injuries to Trey Lance and Jimmy Garoppolo. I’ll say it again, the 49ers have one of the most organized teams in the entire league, with a super protective offensive line, great receivers, healthy George Kittle blocking and receiving passes, and the “icing on the cake” Christian McCaffrey, who came in during the year, running the ball or receiving passes. With so many standouts around, Purdy has stepped in and has been doing his job, keeping California’s team as one of the favorites to win the title. Some say that the team has been playing even better than when Jimmy G was the starter.

With so many lures, it is easier for Brock Purdy to find free receivers, making important points in the FF. Add him, it’s the last chance.

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None of Matt Ryan, Sam Ehlinger, or Nick Foles is a solution for the Colts.

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None of Matt Ryan, Sam Ehlinger, or Nick Foles is a solution for the Colts.

None of Matt Ryan, Sam Ehlinger, or Nick Foles is a solution for the Colts.

Jeff Saturday made one last adjustment. It was ineffective.

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With the Indianapolis Colts’ offense sputtering, Saturday made the decision to activate Nick Foles as the starting quarterback for their game against the Los Angeles Chargers. Matt Ryan’s deterioration has been evident in recent weeks, as the Colts have struggled to move the ball down the field. Saturday believed Foles may provide a spark to the offense moving forward.

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The Colts were defeated 20-3 by the Chargers despite only managing 173 yards of total offense. Foles struggled throughout the whole game, going 17 of 29 (59%) for 143 yards, three interceptions, and a 31.9 quarterback rating. For the majority of the evening, Foles resembled the third-string quarterback the Colts have used for the majority of the season.

Despite all the speculation about how Foles might assist the Colts in moving the ball down the field, nothing of the kind occurred Monday night. Michael Pittman Jr.’s 19-yard reception was the game’s longest play. The Colts had a dismal 0-10 record on third down. The only team this season with a worse third down conversion rate? The Colts lost to the New England Patriots in Week 9 and finished with a record of 0-14.

After the game, Saturday stated, “Pretty straightforward – can’t turn it over.” You know, you can’t leave the defense on the field, so you have to convert on third downs offensively, get them off the field.

Again attempting to bear the burden, the Chargers’ quarterback Justin Herbert was sacked four times and forced into two fumbles. However, it is hard to compete when the offense is as terrible as it was on Monday night.

Foles said, “I believe we never found a rhythm as an offense. “I believe the points are clear. Three points is never going to be sufficient, to be honest. As a result, our offensive never really found its groove. And the quarterback is where it all begins. We also need to play well the whole game to attempt to establish a rhythm.

The truth is that under these conditions, Foles was never going to succeed. You can discuss Foles’ incredible 2017 campaign, in which he entered at the tail end of the campaign and guided the Philadelphia Eagles to a championship. However, Foles was surrounded that season by a fantastic Eagles squad. Not the Colts.

The Colts’ protection problems again as they allowed seven sacks in the game. The Colts have already allowed 56 sacks in 2022, and they are currently on track to surpass the previous high mark set by the team in a single season. Even while Saturday suggested that some of those sacks could have resulted from field coverage further back, Foles’ pocket continued to open up fast.

Along with playing alongside players he is still getting acquainted to, Foles was under pressure for the duration of the game. Early last week, it was made public that before the Chargers game, Foles will practice with the starting offense for the first time. Alec Pierce, Parris Campbell, and Pittman received some of his few passes.

The moment a shift occurs, Foles said, “you step in and try to become acclimated as fast as you can and, you know, get the timing down and everything.” “Our practice week was incredibly productive. It’s disappointing that the execution fell short of what we required to win this game.

It was almost hard for Foles to walk in and perform effectively in that circumstance. When you add it to the experienced quarterback’s poor choices and misfires, the offense had the worst appearance in the NFL. The Denver Broncos, the only club with a lower scoring average (15.5) than the Indianapolis Colts (16.5), at least managed to score a touchdown in their lopsided defeat to the Los Angeles Rams. After the game, their head coach was sacked as well.

The Colts’ roster contains no quarterbacks who can save this squad. Father Time has finally caught up with Ryan, who now throws with little to no velocity, struggles to handle the football, and appears to be moving more slowly than ever. Despite having a better arm, Foles struggles to move properly and makes terrible judgments while playing football with players with whom he has barely ever practiced.

You might argue that having Sam Ehlinger start again would be beneficial, but there is little hope that he would inspire the offense either. Early in the season, Ehlinger made two starts and went winless, including the humiliating loss in New England that ended the reign of previous head coach Frank Reich. Ehlinger is still the backup quarterback because evidently Saturday and the rest of the staff do not believe he can do any better.

Because the rest of the offense is a disaster, none of these quarterbacks are the solution. There are still protection difficulties with the offensive line, tight ends, and running backs. Defenses are sitting on every route because the Colts’ passing strategy and play-calling are so basic. None of the three quarterbacks can improve the offense to a level that would offset these problems.

Unfortunately, the crime cannot be corrected this year. For the Colts to have a reliable attack once more, new coaches and players at crucial spots are required. Expect a lot of the same play from this unit during the next two games up to that point.

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JJ Watt announces NFL retirement

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JJ Watt announces NFL retirement

JJ Watt announces NFL retirement

JJ Watt is hanging up his boots. On Tuesday (27), the Arizona Cardinals defensive end announced that he is retiring from the NFL, via a post on Twitter.

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“Koa’s (defensive end’s daughter) first NFL game, last home game of my career,” wrote the star, posing in photos alongside his daughter and wife, Chicago Red Stars forward Kealia. “My heart is filled with nothing less than love and gratitude. It has been an absolute honor and pleasure.”

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A three-time NFL Defensive Player of the Year, Watt is a future Hall of Famer. He was the 11th overall pick in the 2011 Draft by the Houston Texans. There, he played until the end of the 2020 season, when he announced his move to Arizona.

In Texas, he played 128 games, including eight for the playoffs, adding 21 more for the Cardinals, one of them for the postseason, in last year’s Wild Card round against the Los Angeles Rams. In all, there are 149 starters on the field, 111.5 sacks, 580 tackles, 191 tackles for loss of yardage, 313 QB hits, one safety, and two interceptions.

When it comes to awards, the list is also extensive. He was three times named AP Defensive Player of the Year (2013, 2015 and 2016), once Walter Payton Man of the Year (2018), 2017 Sportsman of the Year, five times selected to the Pro Bowl (2012 to 2015 and 2018) and six times to the All-Pro team (2012 to 2015 and 2018).

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