MLB
Odds, Predictions, Philadelphia Phillies vs. Marlins: 2022 MLB picks, best proven model bets for Thursday, August 11

Odds, Predictions, Philadelphia Phillies vs. Marlins: 2022 MLB picks, best proven model bets for Thursday, August 11
Citizens Bank Park will host National League matinees on Thursday. The Philadelphia Phillies host the Miami Marlins in a battle between division rivals. The game ended Philadelphia’s three-game winning streak. Kyle Gibson was the projected starter for the Phillies, and the Marlins fought back on the mound with Edward Cabrera.
Caesars Sportsbook lists Philly as the favorite at the -170 odds line (risk $170 to win $100) at 1:05 p.m. ET first pitch. In the latest Phillies-to-Marlins odds, Vegas sees a total of eight points scored or exceeded. Before you click on the Marlins vs. Phillies tips, you need to check out the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model.
The SportsLine projection model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, with 299-254 top MLB bonus line choices as of the start of the 2021 season, earning over $800 for a $100 player. This is the same model that set the 2021 Atlanta Braves 10-1 as one of the top three bets to win last season. Everyone who followed him saw great rewards.
Now, the model has its sights set on the Marlins vs. Phillies, and has just listed its picks and MLB projections. You can now head over to SportsLine to see a selection of models. Now here are a few MLB odds and betting lines for the Marlins vs. Phillies:
- Marlins vs. Phillies over-under: 8 runs
- Marlins vs. Phillies money line: Phillies -170, Marlins +143
- Marlins vs. Phillies run line: Phillies -1.5 (+122)
- PHI: The Phillies are 22-14 in day games
- MIA: The Marlins are 21-23 in day games
- Marlins vs. Phillies picks
Why You Should Bet on Marlins
Miami’s run defense was his strength Thursday. The Marlins have a 4.00 ERA this season below the bullpen, and Miami’s relievers are averaging more than one strikeout per inning in 2022. Philly’s offense is strong, but the Phillies’ average percentage of doubles, walks and walks is below the national average.
Cabrera is also on the road to success in 2022, and the 24-year-old right-hander has a 2.61 ERA this season. Cabrera maintained a 1.065 WHIP with 10.0 strikeouts per nine innings as opponents challenged him with a .544 OPS. In his final game, Cabrera threw a five-inning block, and he was able to slow Philadelphia’s offense, even on the street.
Why you should bet on the Phillies
Philly’s offensive shooting is quite strong, which is overwhelmed by the sheer strength of the team’s center. However, the Phillies were also solid on the run defense, and it was a friendly. Gibson took the mound for Philadelphia, and the former All-Star right-hander has a .687 OPS this season. Gibson had 1,167 WHIPs and spent just 2.5 walks per nine innings. He’s also been doing well recently, with a 2.87 ERA in his last five starts, while Gibson has a 2.89 ERA in three starts against the Marlins this season.
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Interest from other teams could make Chris Sale wear another shirt in 2023

Interest from other teams could make Chris Sale wear another shirt in 2023
Although no more serious negotiations have begun, the Boston Red Sox have noted the interest of other franchises in pitcher Chris Sale and have not ruled out involving him in a possible trade.
Jon Heyman of the New York Post reported that while the Red Stockings are not thinking of trading any of their starters, they may at least listen and consider offers for the members of the rotation, due to many options in the sector.
However, if the team decides that Ace’s time in Boston is over, Sale can veto his fate and choose where he will go, since the no-trade clause in his contract gives him this possibility.
Should any team decide to take over the pitcher’s contract this offseason, they will secure his services for at least two more years, as Chris Sale becomes a free agent only in 2025.
Known for his excellent left-handedness, the athlete has a considerable history of physical problems. In addition to missing the entire already shortened 2020 season as a result of recovery from Tommy John surgery, Sale also took the field nine times the following year in uneven performances.
This season did not start in good shape for Sale either, who missed the start due to a rib injury during Spring Training. When he was healthy, he played only twice and fractured his little finger during an away game against the New York Yankees in July in his last performance. In addition, he broke his wrist riding a bicycle.
“You can’t make that up, right?” said Chaim Bloom, head of baseball operations for the Sox Kings. “We need to send some people after whoever is with Chris Sale’s voodoo doll and get it back.”
Sale was among the top six nominees for the Cy Young award between 2012 and 2018, receiving seven All-Star Game nominations, one World Series win, recording the record for unblemished innings with three (tied with Sandy Koufax and Max Scherzer) and owns a 5.33 strikeouts-to-walk average, the best mark in league history.
Taking into account his wins, but also the medical issue, Chris Sale will have to prove himself again as an elite pitcher who has made it through the injuries. If so, he is a powerful weapon on the mound, regardless of the uniform he wears.
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Pirates sign veteran pitcher Rich Hill to a one-year deal

Pirates sign veteran pitcher Rich Hill to a one-year deal
The Pittsburgh Pirates and left-handed pitcher Rich Hill finalized terms on a one-year, $8 million contract on Tuesday (27), reported Jeff Passan of ESPN USA.
Hill, 42, will be entering his 19th season in the MLB. He accumulated a 4.27 ERA with 109 strikeouts in 124.1 innings for the Boston Red Sox in 2022. Including, his last stint in Boston was his fourth with the team.
Since 2015, when the lefty had a “resurgence” period in his career, he has maintained an average of 10.7 strikeouts per nine innings, along with a good 2.91 ERA (140 ERA+) and a 1.06 WHIP in 87 total games.
The veteran pitcher has also played for the Chicago Cubs, Baltimore Orioles, Cleveland Guardians, Los Angeles Angels, New York Yankees, Oakland Athletics, Los Angeles Dodgers, Minnesota Twins, Tampa Bay Rays, and New York Mets during his long career.
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The Mariners acquire Wong from the Brewers in exchange for Winker and Toro.

The Mariners acquire Wong from the Brewers in exchange for Winker and Toro.
The Mariners acquired Kolten Wong from the Brewers on Friday in exchange for outfielder Jesse Winker and infielder Abraham Toro, filling a much-needed left-handed spot in their lineup.
DETAILS OF THE TRADE
- 2B for the Mariners Kolten Wong
- Brewers are awarded: LF/DH INF Jesse Winker Toro, Abraham.
The Mariners will also receive $1.75 million to help offset Wong’s $10 million salary in 2023, when he will be a free agent. Winker is due $8.25 million in his final year before free agency, effectively a money and player swap for Seattle, while Toro is in his first year of arbitration as a Super Two player and won’t be a free agent until until 2026.
Wong has been a Mariners goal since the team came short of signing him as a free agency ahead of the 2021 season, when Seattle offered a two-year deal but Milwaukee offered a third-year club option, which was the difference at the time, according to sources. The Mariners had inquired about Wong’s availability at the Trade Deadline the previous two seasons, but the competing Brewers were uninterested in moving him.
However, with numerous arbitration-eligible players set to receive raises this offseason, many in the business anticipated that the team might be willing to move some of its higher-priced players for payroll relief, prospect capital, and/or depth. Toro, a switch-hitting infielder with glimpses of good performance, provides longevity for the Brewers’ squad, while Winker, coming off a terribly disappointing season, returns to a division where he flourished with the Reds while facing the motivation of a contract year with the Brewers.
Aloha, @KoltenWong 👋
We have acquired the two-time Gold Glove winner from the @Brewers in exchange for Abraham Toro and Jesse Winker. #SeaUsRise
🔗 https://t.co/V4YD0ApLXD pic.twitter.com/jO9STa5ouI
— Seattle Mariners (@Mariners) December 2, 2022
The Brewers activated Wong’s option last month instead of paying him a $2 million buyout, opening the door for him to be traded, which sparked interest from clubs other than Seattle, according to sources.
Wong, 32, is coming off what was maybe his greatest season at the plate, hitting.251/.339/.430 (.769 OPS) with a career-high 15 homers, 24 doubles, four triples, 47 RBIs, and 116 wRC+ (league average is 100) while collecting 2.5 wins above replacement, according to FanGraphs.
Some of this was by purpose, with a more deliberate attempt to raise the ball higher. His line-drive and fly-ball rates were the best in his career the last two years (49.3% combined), but his ground-ball percentage was the lowest (43.7% for ’21-22). It’s possible that his OPS+ in each of the last two seasons – 110 in ’21 and 118 in ’22 – was the greatest of his career.
Wong is a two-time Gold Glove Award winner who is coming off a defensively bad year in which he was worth minus-9 outs above average (placing in the third percentile, per Statcast) and minus-1 defensive runs saved.
Some of that could be attributed to lower-body injuries he battled throughout the year, such as a right calf strain from a hit-by-pitch in June, which led to a stint on the injured list and persisted despite treatment and footwear experimentation. A full offseason of rest and a Spring Training with infield coaching guru Perry Hill, who has helped J.P. Crawford and Ty France among others, should be beneficial.
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